Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25% on 14 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 14 Sep 2024 to 20 Sep 2024, the highest close was 32% on 18 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 14.5% on 19 Sep 2024. $34.92K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 21, 2:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 14 Sep 2024 – 20 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Sep 2024 | 25.0% |
| 20 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.75K |
| catfish | Yes | 958.65 |
| qrpenc | Yes | 794.12 |
| dorcasrichardson | Yes | 140 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 13 and 20.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-13-20
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| lqy | Yes | 77.83 |
| Sneaky-Marxism | Yes | 2.93 |
| 6546iik | Yes | 0.11 |
