
Resolved No on 23 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 19.5% on 19 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2024 to 23 Oct 2024, the highest close was 19.5% on 19 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 4.5% on 21 Oct 2024. $21.91K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 2:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 19 Oct 2024 – 23 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2024 | 19.5% |
| 23 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.78K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.23K |
| Cosmic Beacon 9183 | Yes | 250 |
| Scodeodus | Yes | 130 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will post between October 18 and October 25.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-oct-18-25
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| Sharp. | Yes | 100 |
| BSandro | Yes | 37.2 |
| arbyzik | Yes | 1.43 |
| Jade Oracle 9D7D | Yes | 0.1 |
| Indigo Atlas A71C | No | 0.1 |
| godpls | No | 0.04 |