Will Elon tweet 180 or more times?

Resolved

No, settled May 4, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$53.2K

Resolved

Settled

May 4, 2024 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 4 May 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.5% on 26 Apr 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 26 Apr 2024 to 4 May 2024, the highest close was 2.5% on 26 Apr 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 May 2024. $53.22K traded over the market's life.

2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 7, 11:09 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 26 Apr 2024 – 4 May 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
26 Apr 2024	2.5%
4 May 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	28.29K
radik911	Yes	2.5K

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules