Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.6%. Yes opened at 11.5% on 7 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 7 Sep 2024 to 12 Sep 2024, the highest close was 48% on 10 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 12 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 43 points down, to 5.5% on 11 Sep 2024. $69.61K traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 13, 10:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 7 Sep 2024 – 12 Sep 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Sep 2024 | 11.5% |
| 12 Sep 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.32K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 672.9 |
| Ironclad-Science | Yes | 0.12 |
| xerafs | Yes | 0.04 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk from September 6 to September 13.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-6-13
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Educated-Skean | Yes | 0.04 |
| lovidax | Yes | 0.03 |
| neddaxx | Yes | 0.02 |
| measfx | Yes | 0.02 |
| loomy | Yes | 0.02 |
| corinthians | No | 0.02 |
