Analytics
Resolved No on 25 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 12% on 21 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2024 to 25 Sep 2024, the highest close was 12% on 21 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.3% on 25 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 8.8 points down, to 3.3% on 22 Sep 2024. $50.34K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 26, 11:02 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 21 Sep 2024 – 25 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2024 | 12.0% |
| 25 Sep 2024 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.8K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 963.35 |
| deirdregoldmann | Yes | 62.1 |
| Marr | Yes | 2.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 20 and September 27.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-20-27
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