Will Elon tweet 150-174 times October 4-11?

politicsResolved

No, settled Oct 11, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$55.3K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 11, 2024 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 11 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 86.7%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 5 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 5 Oct 2024 to 11 Oct 2024, the highest close was 13.3% on 11 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 9 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6.7 points up, to 13.3% on 11 Oct 2024. $55.31K traded over the market's life.

9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 12, 4:02 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 5 Oct 2024 – 11 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
5 Oct 2024	5.5%
11 Oct 2024	13.3%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	12.81K
qrpenc	Yes	514.37
BibiNetanyahu	Yes	100
dhrtb	No	3.24

9 of 9 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

If Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts between 150 (inclusive) and 174 (inclusive) times on X between October 4, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and October 11, 2024, 12:00 PM ET this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.