
Resolved No on 29 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.7% on 26 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 26 Oct 2024 to 29 Oct 2024, the highest close was 3.7% on 26 Oct 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 29 Oct 2024. $17.76K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 29, 10:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 26 Oct 2024 – 29 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2024 | 3.7% |
| 29 Oct 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 15.12K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.94K |
| dagger | Yes | 110 |
| dimonTar | Yes | 92 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets Elon Musk will make between October 25 and November 1.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-oct-25-nov-1
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| chereln | Yes | 46.67 |
| traction | Yes | 40 |
| Boli2003 | Yes | 18.52 |
| Cosmic Beacon 9183 | Yes | 18 |
| MercMand | No | 0.07 |
| BrokenIKey | No | 0.02 |