Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.8%. Yes opened at 13% on 31 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 31 Aug 2024 to 3 Sep 2024, the highest close was 13% on 31 Aug 2024 and the lowest 1.2% on 3 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.8 points down, to 1.2% on 3 Sep 2024. $43.05K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 4, 11:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 31 Aug 2024 – 3 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2024 | 13.0% |
| 3 Sep 2024 | 1.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.86K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 500.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk # of tweets August 30-Sept 6?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-30-sept-6
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