Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 4% on 8 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 24 daily closes on record from 8 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 4% on 8 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Sep 2026. $870.62 traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 8 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | 4.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 20.88K |
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 6.35K |
| sange111 | Yes | 923.95 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 846.89 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk) posts on X during the month of September 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-in-september-2026
| Kurumi.chan | Yes | 667.99 |
| Bitgod | Yes | 500 |
| Miles07 | Yes | 300 |
| alex20011 | Yes | 223.6 |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 222.56 |
| 123987456 | Yes | 204.36 |
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