Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 96.6%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 10 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2024 to 14 Aug 2024, the highest close was 96.6% on 14 Aug 2024 and the lowest 22.5% on 10 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 31 points up, to 96.6% on 14 Aug 2024. $18.98K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 5:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 10 Aug 2024 – 14 Aug 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2024 | 22.5% |
| 14 Aug 2024 | 96.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.74K |
| retar-dio | No | 342.33 |
| Rayn | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk # of tweets August 9-16?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-9-16
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