Analytics
Resolved No on 24 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 8.2% on 21 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 21 Sep 2024 to 24 Sep 2024, the highest close was 8.2% on 21 Sep 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 24 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.9 points down, to 2.3% on 22 Sep 2024. $24.59K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 25, 3:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 21 Sep 2024 – 24 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2024 | 8.2% |
| 24 Sep 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 10.8K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.48K |
| adelardoalcantar | Yes | 140 |
| jettearrance | Yes | 23.74 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a market on predicting the number of tweets posted by Elon Musk between September 20 and September 27.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-sept-20-27
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Marr | Yes | 4 |
