Will Elon tweet 120-134 times?

Resolved

No, settled May 10, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$51.7K

Resolved

Settled

May 10, 2024 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 10 May 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 6% on 4 May 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 4 May 2024 to 10 May 2024, the highest close was 9.5% on 5 May 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 May 2024. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 3.5% on 6 May 2024. $51.74K traded over the market's life.

2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 11, 2:59 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 4 May 2024 – 10 May 2024, chart shows 0%–15%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
4 May 2024	6.0%
10 May 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	22.28K
professorx	Yes	0.01

2 of 2 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules