
Resolved No on 26 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 48%. Yes opened at 16.5% on 20 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 20 Jul 2024 to 26 Jul 2024, the highest close was 52% on 26 Jul 2024 and the lowest 16.5% on 20 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 52% on 26 Jul 2024. $8.44K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 27, 7:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 20 Jul 2024 – 26 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Jul 2024 | 16.5% |
| 26 Jul 2024 | 52.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.08K |
| FEEND | Yes | 30 |
| Violet Maven E624 | Yes | 13.64 |
| testorrrr-testing-mc-testfacey | Yes | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
asda
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-19-26
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| slurppy | Yes | 0.05 |
| Vash | Yes | 0.03 |
| Stevenoz | No | 0.01 |