Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 9.5% on 31 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 31 Aug 2024 to 2 Sep 2024, the highest close was 9.5% on 31 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.4% on 2 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 5.2 points down, to 4.3% on 1 Sep 2024. $21.72K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 3, 4:07 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 31 Aug 2024 – 2 Sep 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2024 | 9.5% |
| 2 Sep 2024 | 0.4% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.86K |
| Ivory Meteor 70FF | Yes | 2.11K |
| qrpenc | Yes | 1.54K |
| vrpdavidlopez | Yes | 127 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon Musk # of tweets August 30-Sept 6?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-august-30-sept-6
| bjorng | Yes | 121 |
| salzmanninken | Yes | 118 |
| goerscanoodbw | Yes | 118 |
| rosselladurante | Yes | 95 |
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