
Resolved No on 31 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 10% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 31 Jul 2024, the highest close was 17% on 29 Jul 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 31 Jul 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 5.5% on 30 Jul 2024. $14.77K traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 1, 5:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 31 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 10.0% |
| 31 Jul 2024 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 3.29K |
| qwendir | Yes | 66.67 |
| Alicia | No | 0.06 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Elon tweets
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-july-26-aug-2
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