Analytics
Yes is at 61%, down 1 point from 62% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 71.5% on 20 Oct 2026 and the lowest 61% on 23 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9.5 points up, to 71.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 8 markets under “What will Elon post this week? (October 19 - October 25)”.
$39.49 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $56.99 since listing. The order book holds $4.63, with a 70.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is flexer78 with 39 shares; the largest No position is t4lk13 with 25.
Trading closes on 26 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 7:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 55%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 62.0% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 61.0% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count. Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a .jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated .gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context. Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution. Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile. If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-elon-post-this-week-october-19-october-25-20261025
| blaretype |
| No |
| 10 |
| priorlab | Yes | 7.5 |
| idl | Yes | 5 |
| szy10010 | Yes | 5 |
| Colorless-Attachment | No | 5 |
| Limited-Loading | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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