Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 46% on 30 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 46% on 30 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 20% on 31 Dec 2025. $8K traded over the market's life.
60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Dec 2025 | 46.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.22K |
| wokerjoesleeper | Yes | 670.01 |
| products | Yes | 515.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on January 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for January 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-net-worth-on-january-31
| Yes |
| 477.01 |
| NopeMan | Yes | 430.06 |
| Aquila | Yes | 368.13 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 325.98 |
| LAMMTICO | Yes | 266.2 |
| rated | Yes | 264.11 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 215.52 |
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