Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 50% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 9% on 22 Aug 2026. $16.85K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 1:18 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | 50.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.99K |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 235.07 |
| balthazar | Yes | 166.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on August 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-net-worth-on-august-31-20260729193358764
| Yes |
| 101.23 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 100 |
| Rapid Quasar 51BA | Yes | 70 |
| Juzy | Yes | 51 |
| hdjdjdjhshh | Yes | 50 |
| mamofaker24 | Yes | 44.55 |
| Fuadkrm7 | Yes | 43.76 |
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