Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $620b and $630b on December 31?

Resolved

No, settled Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$7.7K

Resolved

Settled

Jan 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 2.2%. Yes opened at 22% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 97.8% on 1 Jan 2026 and the lowest 7.8% on 27 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 61 points up, to 97.8% on 1 Jan 2026. $7.74K traded over the market's life.

22 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 4:29 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 1 Jan 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
24 Dec 2025	22.0%
1 Jan 2026	97.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Agile-Infection	Yes	5K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	1.99K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	328
Emerald Pioneer D14A	Yes	216

10 of 22 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on December 31, 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for December 31, 2025, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.