Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 4 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 99% on 1 Nov 2025 and the lowest 7% on 16 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 68 points up, to 99% on 1 Nov 2025. $3.6K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 2, 12:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 4 Oct 2025 – 1 Nov 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | 46.5% |
| 1 Nov 2025 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 656.93 |
| vcbre4 | No | 570 |
| cvxewr23 | No | 570 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on October 31, 2025. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be Bloomberg, specifically the datapoint for October 31, once the data is finalized. If https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/ is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-net-worth-on-october-31
| No |
| 565 |
| vbcret32 | No | 230 |
| cxvwe23 | No | 210 |
| shine | No | 60 |
| smokeapparatus | Yes | 2.48 |
| natryaske | No | 2.48 |
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