Analytics
Resolved No on 31 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 11% on 24 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 24 Jan 2025 to 31 Jan 2025, the highest close was 13% on 25 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.8% on 29 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.6 points down, to 1.4% on 28 Jan 2025. $12.12K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 1, 3:52 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 24 Jan 2025 – 31 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2025 | 11.0% |
| 31 Jan 2025 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 17.33K |
| WideCock66 | Yes | 340 |
| 0x1zyd0r | Yes | 333.33 |
| RXU | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, as of January 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET (noon). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/ is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-net-worth-on-jan-31
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
