Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?

cultureResolved

No, settled Aug 2, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$23.8K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 2, 2026 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 2 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 44% on 30 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 Jun 2026 to 2 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 44% on 30 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 17 points down, to 17.5% on 3 Jul 2026. $23.77K traded over the market's life.

44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:04 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 Jun 2026 – 2 Aug 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jun 2026	44.0%
2 Aug 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	12.04K
Crimson Summit 6D33	Yes	2K
MrProfiter	Yes	1K

10 of 44 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.