Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.4%. Yes opened at 9% on 29 Nov 2023. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 29 Nov 2023 to 1 Jan 2024, the highest close was 9% on 29 Nov 2023 and the lowest 0.9% on 8 Dec 2023. $2.85K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 5:42 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 29 Nov 2023 – 1 Jan 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2023 | 9.0% |
| 1 Jan 2024 | 1.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| KevinWan | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
If Elon Musk visits Gaza between November 28 and December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Elon Musk physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Gaza. Whether or not Musk enters Gazan airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Elon Musk or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/elonmusk); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-visit-gaza-in-2023
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