Analytics
Resolved No on 3 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 9 Jun 2025. Before it settled, across the 25 daily closes on record from 9 Jun 2025 to 3 Jul 2025, the highest close was 12.5% on 9 Jun 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 2 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 7% on 10 Jun 2025. $30.71K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 4, 4:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 9 Jun 2025 – 3 Jul 2025, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2025 | 12.5% |
| 3 Jul 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk) unfollows Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump) on X at any point between June 8 and June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If either of the ‘@elonmusk’ or ‘@realDonaldTrump’ X accounts are deleted or disabled this market will immediately resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk X account (@elonmusk), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-unfollow-donald-trump-before-july-511
| Yes |
| 46.15 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 17.98 |
| penger | Yes | 15.38 |
| 🫠🫠🫠🫠 | Yes | 15.38 |
| Tomcruise-341 | Yes | 15 |
| poonggyungnam | Yes | 10 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 1.66 |
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