Analytics
Resolved No on 19 Jul 2024.
$116.23K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 6:40 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 19 Jul 2024, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Jul 2024 | 2.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Roldy-971 | Yes | 3.35K |
| Jenny134 | Yes | 530.05 |
| ScubaSteve21 | Yes | 333.56 |
| Traderspot30 | Yes | 258.19 |
| farts | Yes | 150 |
| idarkwing | Yes | 30 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
The 2024 Republican National Convention is scheduled for July 15-18, 2024. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk is a speaker at the Republican National Convention. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Elon Musk will be considered a "speaker" if he publicly gives a speech to an RNC crowd on-stage at the convention. Simply appearing on-stage at the convention will not count for a "Yes" resolution, he must actually give a speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-speak-at-the-rnc
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