
Resolved No on 1 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 27% on 10 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 22 daily closes on record from 10 Jun 2026 to 1 Jul 2026, the highest close was 27% on 10 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 25 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 9.5% on 11 Jun 2026. $16.1K traded over the market's life.
27 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 8:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 22 points, 10 Jun 2026 – 1 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2026 | 27.0% |
| 1 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 26.46K |
| vamnizar | Yes | 1.66K |
| bukalapak | Yes | 1.12K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of June 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-tweets-in-june-2026-20260608234701516
| Yes |
| 1.1K |
| Baela | Yes | 1.05K |
| Rokokoraccoon | Yes | 200 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 158.72 |
| balthazar | Yes | 129.5 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| pestanimal | Yes | 100 |
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