Will Elon Musk tweet more August 19 than day before?

Resolved

No, settled Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.6K

Resolved

Settled

Aug 20, 2025 UTC

Topic roomElon Musk Tweets

Where it stands

Resolved No on 20 Aug 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 79.5%. Yes opened at 74% on 19 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 19 Aug 2025 to 20 Aug 2025, the highest close was 74% on 19 Aug 2025 and the lowest 20.5% on 20 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 54 points down, to 20.5% on 20 Aug 2025. $2.57K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 8:58 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 19 Aug 2025 – 20 Aug 2025

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
19 Aug 2025	74.0%
20 Aug 2025	20.5%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.25K
Crimson Falcon C79A	Yes	266
qwertzu	Yes	80
Bright Signal 14DE	Yes	6

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts more times on X on August 19, 2025 (ET), than on August 18, 2025 (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts posts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker do not count toward the total. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the ‘Post Counter’ figure for posts found at https://www.xtracker.io/. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.