Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Jul 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 98.1%. Yes opened at 78% on 1 Jun 2024. Before it settled, across the 44 daily closes on record from 1 Jun 2024 to 14 Jul 2024, the highest close was 98.1% on 14 Jul 2024 and the lowest 67.5% on 30 Jun 2024. Its largest one-day move was 26 points up, to 98.1% on 14 Jul 2024. $25.5K traded over the market's life.
6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 14, 11:54 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 44 points, 1 Jun 2024 – 14 Jul 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2024 | 78.0% |
| 14 Jul 2024 | 98.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Flanders299 | No | 1.41K |
| okthisiscrazy | No | 91 |
| fidelcashflow94 | No | 0.32 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk announces that he will vote for Donald Trump or formally endorses Trump for President of the United States by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If Musk announces that he will vote for another candidate or formally endorses another candidate for President of the United States this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk or one of his representatives.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-musk-endorse-trump
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 0.08 |
| DumbMoney1 | No | 0.08 |
| baggot | No | 0.04 |
