Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 7 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 54 daily closes on record from 7 Jan 2025 to 1 Mar 2025, the highest close was 45.5% on 21 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 25.5% on 23 Jan 2025. $93.12K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 2, 3:38 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 54 points, 7 Jan 2025 – 1 Mar 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2025 | 25.5% |
| 1 Mar 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lebronjack | Yes | 5.25K |
| pepes27 | Yes | 1.46K |
| ovidiubreazu | Yes | 237.51 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk's net worth, as listed on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, reaches or exceeds $500 billion at any point by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-elon-be-worth-500b-before-march
| Yes |
| 76.92 |
| H4tran | Yes | 70 |
| Krootox | Yes | 57.14 |
| CryptoHaze | Yes | 40 |
| hgfgh1222 | Yes | 16.67 |
| exoprint | Yes | 6.67 |
| Casualdaffodil | Yes | 2.5 |
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