Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 315.79 | $0.190 | $60 | Feb 5, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 210.53 |
| $0.190 |
| $40 |
| Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.180 | $25.71 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 24.79 | $0.121 | $3 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 21.97 | $0.930 | $20.43 | Oct 14, 2025 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 19.8 | $0.101 | $2 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 49.5 | $0.101 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Aug 18, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | buy | 25.25 | $0.198 | $5 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 131.14 | $0.370 | $48.52 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.810 | $13.49 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Aug 5, 2025 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Jul 20, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Jul 20, 2025 |
 Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.005 | $5 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Portugal win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | May 17, 2025 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 973.14 | $0.021 | $20 | May 16, 2025 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 522.4 | $0.038 | $20 | May 11, 2025 |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 171.71 | $0.058 | $10 | May 9, 2025 |
 New Pope in 2025?Yes | sell | 71.42 | $0.996 | $71.13 | Apr 27, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?No | buy | 141.17 | $0.035 | $5 | Mar 23, 2025 |
| New Pope in 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.700 | $50 | Mar 2, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 59.52 | $0.084 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 925.93 | $0.027 | $25 | Feb 19, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Feb 19, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 16.39 | $0.660 | $10.82 | Feb 17, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 50.59 | $0.690 | $34.91 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 76.6 | $0.131 | $10 | Feb 13, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Feb 13, 2025 |
 Will Elon be worth $500b before March?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.035 | $2 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Feb 10, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 24.2 | $0.620 | $15 | Feb 10, 2025 |
 Will Alice Weidel be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.033 | $5.94 | Jan 25, 2025 |
 Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?No | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Jan 24, 2025 |
| Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jan 24, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Jan 23, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.154 | $4.4 | Jan 22, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.540 | $50 | Jan 22, 2025 |