Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 98%. Yes opened at 12.5% on 6 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2024 to 7 Aug 2024, the highest close was 12.5% on 6 Aug 2024 and the lowest 2% on 7 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 2% on 7 Aug 2024. $12.56K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 8, 6:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 6 Aug 2024 – 7 Aug 2024, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2024 | 12.5% |
| 7 Aug 2024 | 2.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pizzawithpinnapple | Yes | 0.18 |
| ttheprep | Yes | 0.15 |
| americandream | Yes | 0.09 |
| unilexbraa | Yes | 0.05 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| tip-565 | No | 0.02 |
| ExhaustedBoyBilly | No | 0.02 |
| kingarthur59 | No | 0.01 |
| polymath23 | Yes | 0.01 |
| Nikkolas | No | 0.01 |
