Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump say "Regime Change" during Address to the Nation?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.550 | $27.5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 38.87 |
| $0.450 |
| $17.49 |
| Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 677.01 | $0.011 | $7.44 | Nov 18, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 249 | $0.049 | $12.3 | Nov 17, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | buy | 228.01 | $0.049 | $11.26 | Nov 17, 2025 |
 Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 61.58 | $0.640 | $39.41 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 21 | $0.610 | $12.81 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 21 | $0.610 | $12.81 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 21 | $0.610 | $12.81 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 33 | $0.670 | $22.11 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 25 | $0.330 | $8.25 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?No | buy | 59.33 | $0.290 | $17.21 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Saturday?Yes | buy | 483.21 | $0.993 | $479.83 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Saturday?Yes | buy | 35.64 | $0.990 | $35.28 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Sunday?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.997 | $5.98 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?No | buy | 203 | $0.970 | $196.91 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?No | sell | 60 | $0.630 | $37.8 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | sell | 51 | $0.450 | $22.95 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.570 | $7.41 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 35 | $0.210 | $7.35 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.210 | $63 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on March 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.200 | $60 | Feb 24, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | sell | 67.25 | $0.100 | $6.7 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.799 | $39.95 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 121.95 | $0.798 | $97.37 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 112.02 | $0.818 | $91.63 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.834 | $856.84 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.833 | $16.66 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 70 | $0.828 | $57.96 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.827 | $16.54 | Feb 16, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the top AI model on February 28?Yes | buy | 67.25 | $0.021 | $1.44 | Feb 16, 2025 |
 Will Rumble buy TikTok?No | buy | 20 | $0.970 | $19.4 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Will Perplexity AI buy TikTok?No | buy | 300 | $0.959 | $287.7 | Jan 30, 2025 |
 Chopsticks catch SpaceX's 7th Starship Super Heavy?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.999 | $1.43K | Jan 16, 2025 |
 Will Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?No | buy | 20 | $0.998 | $19.96 | Dec 10, 2024 |
| Will Nico Iamaleava win the Heisman Trophy?No | buy | 162.78 | $0.997 | $162.29 | Dec 10, 2024 |
 Will Notre Dame win the 2025 College Football Playoff?No | buy | 105.58 | $0.850 | $89.74 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.852 | $34.08 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.851 | $89.36 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.852 | $93.72 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.852 | $34.08 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 99.13 | $0.852 | $84.46 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.852 | $89.46 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Travis Hunter win the Heisman Trophy?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.851 | $89.36 | Nov 29, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.996 | $1.41K | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.260 | $288.49 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Pereira vs. Rountree Jr.Rountree Jr. | buy | 30 | $0.190 | $5.7 | Oct 3, 2024 |
 Will Penn St. beat Illinois?Penn St | buy | 1.19K | $0.990 | $1.18K | Sep 29, 2024 |
 Giants vs. CowboysCowboys | buy | 1.32K | $0.999 | $1.31K | Sep 27, 2024 |