Analytics
Resolved No on 5 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 12 Dec 2024. Before it settled, across the 145 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2024 to 5 May 2025, the highest close was 18.3% on 27 Jan 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 3 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 18.3% on 27 Jan 2025. $599.14K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 7, 12:23 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 145 points, 12 Dec 2024 – 5 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2024 | 12.0% |
| 5 May 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 272.5K |
| Hugo14 | Yes | 17.66K |
| sturcu | Yes | 10.26K |
Romania has a two-round system for presidential elections, where a runoff between the top two candidates is held if no candidate secures an absolute majority in the first round. The first round of the Romanian presidential election, originally held on November 24, 2024, was annulled by the Constitutional Court. A new timeline for the elections has not yet been announced, but it is expected that the electoral process will restart in early 2025. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elena Lasconi receives the greatest number of votes in the first round of voting. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of the first round of the Romanian presidential election are not known by July 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Romanian Government, specifically the Permanent Electoral Authority (https://www.roaep.ro/prezentare/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/romania-presidential-election-1st-round-winner
| Mariocrs | Yes | 5K |
| Siziriv | Yes | 3.49K |
| Stefancos | Yes | 3K |
| ghj | Yes | 1K |
| otuBzPDDIx | Yes | 544 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 111 |
| HugeSilver | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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