Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.3%. Yes opened at 41% on 4 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2026 to 7 Jul 2026, the highest close was 41% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.4% on 2 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 24 points down, to 16.5% on 5 Jun 2026. $17.07K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 8, 6:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 4 Jun 2026 – 7 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2026 | 41.0% |
| 7 Jul 2026 | 3.7% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 4.76K |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 982.76 |
| laserjohnny | Yes | 704.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve in favor of the nation in CAF that advances to the latest stage in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If there is a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who recorded more total wins through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who scores more total goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the nation who conceded fewer goals through all main tournament rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to nation whose listed name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or it cannot be determined which nation advanced the furthest during the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-furthest-advancing-caf-nation
| Yes |
| 573.89 |
| Gooooooollllllllll | Yes | 400.22 |
| danlopez1986 | Yes | 389.55 |
| G.Hchen | Yes | 330.63 |
| Glaring-Pathogenesis | Yes | 212.75 |
| ethbas | Yes | 209.67 |
| PORTUGAL2026 | Yes | 172.76 |
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