Analytics
Yes is at 1.6%, down 24 points from 26% when the market opened on 1 Aug 2026.
Across the 87 daily closes on record from 1 Aug 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 19 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 10 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.1%; a month before, 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 32 points up, to 42.5% on 27 Sep 2026.
Eddie Howe ranks tenth of the 16 outcomes in “Next England National Team Head Coach”. Lee Carsley leads at 45.1%; Graham Potter is at 11.8%.
$36.62K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $754.8, with a 2.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 119 trades, $48.8 bought Yes and $22.77K bought No; the largest was a $19.02K buy of No at 90.4¢.
The largest Yes position is LimitOrderLarry with 15.4K shares; the largest No position is ndb1 with 17.1K. Ten wallets hold 98.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 1:33 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 87 points, 1 Aug 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 26.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 1.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| ndb1 | No | 17.08K |
| LimitOrderLarry | Yes | 15.42K |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 588.56 |
This market will resolve according to the person appointed as the next permanent head coach of England’s Men’s National Soccer Team. If no permanent head coach is appointed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the England Football Federation (The Football Association); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-england-national-team-head-coach-20260731023421458
4 more outcomes, none above 0.6%.
| bonyohr |
| Yes |
| 337.98 |
| Cyberflems | No | 238 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 200 |
| Haradwaith | Yes | 136.15 |
| Fihdrzgdd | Yes | 120 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 80 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 70.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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