Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.8% on 4 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 0.8% on 17 Jan 2025 and the low 0.1% on 30 Jan 2025. $285.5K traded over the market's life.
38 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 31, 1:47 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 4 Jan 2025 – 30 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2025 | 0.8% |
| 30 Jan 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 109.74K |
| Mitfliedsname12 | Yes | 6.21K |
| Bruno12822 | Yes | 5.03K |
| rm94 | Yes | 2.23K |
| FonsJH | Yes | 1.25K |
| Katarina | Yes | 1K |
| hdBhbGLUqe | Yes | 659.73 |
| dennisryan | Yes | 597.03 |
| nkvMhPfBOb | Yes | 559.99 |
| robinsonshawn | Yes | 554 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a negrisk market group about European Central Bank interest rates set after the January 2025 meeting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ecb-interest-rates-january-2025
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