Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 83%. Yes opened at 41.5% on 2 Nov 2025. Before it settled, across the 148 daily closes on record from 2 Nov 2025 to 28 Mar 2026, the highest close was 41.5% on 2 Nov 2025 and the lowest 6% on 4 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 11.5% on 3 Nov 2025. $1.06M traded over the market's life.
527 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 31, 1:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 148 points, 2 Nov 2025 – 28 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | 41.5% |
| 28 Mar 2026 | 17.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 28.27K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 23.17K |
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Yes |
| 22.93K |
| crudeoilmoney | Yes | 19K |
| LiquidatedDegen | Yes | 7.74K |
| misterluna | Yes | 6.48K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 5.96K |
| maino | Yes | 5K |
| taner | Yes | 4.76K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
