Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1K | $0.840 | $962.5 | +$122.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 12.13K | $0.800 | $9.7K | 18h ago |
|
| buy |
| 12.13K |
| $0.470 |
| $5.7K |
| 13d ago |
 Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 6.05K | $0.355 | $2.15K | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal | buy | 2.3K | $0.350 | $805 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvancePortugal | buy | 3.2K | $0.350 | $1.12K | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 36.31K | $0.056 | $2.03K | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.310 | $155 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceNorway | buy | 6.28K | $0.300 | $1.88K | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 36.31K | $0.077 | $2.8K | Jun 27, 2026 |
 SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | sell | 4 | $0.260 | $1.04 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 100K | $0.004 | $400 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.103 | $102.85 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?No | buy | 330 | $0.829 | $273.57 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Justin Rose win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 3.67K | $0.410 | $1.51K | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 4.56K | $0.119 | $542.23 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Sam Burns win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 2.04K | $0.120 | $244.61 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 2.6K | $0.180 | $468 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?Yes | buy | 2.4K | $0.180 | $432 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETDown | buy | 188.79 | $0.513 | $96.88 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown | buy | 99.93 | $0.040 | $4 | Feb 26, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETDown | buy | 96.88 | $0.500 | $48.44 | Feb 26, 2026 |
 Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?No | buy | 40.93 | $0.140 | $5.72 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | sell | 60 | $0.190 | $11.4 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.790 | $795.34 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | buy | 680.4 | $0.550 | $374.22 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?No | buy | 385.57 | $0.860 | $331.59 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 136 | $0.200 | $27.2 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 226.35 | $0.200 | $45.27 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | buy | 100.1 | $0.440 | $44.04 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.310 | $373.55 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?No | buy | 2.13K | $0.650 | $1.38K | Jan 7, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | buy | 1.51K | $0.448 | $678.14 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 47.17 | $0.350 | $16.51 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 4K | $0.994 | $3.98K | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Russia" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 13 | $0.920 | $11.96 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 945.35 | $0.997 | $942.51 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 554.62 | $0.997 | $552.96 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 131.93 | $0.995 | $131.23 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Maria" or "Corina" or "Machado" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?No | buy | 65.23 | $0.750 | $48.92 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | buy | 947.71 | $0.507 | $480.7 | Dec 30, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?No | sell | 200 | $0.190 | $38 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 674 | $0.020 | $13.48 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.850 | $680 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.920 | $2.76K | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.49K | $0.490 | $730.07 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 7.73K | $0.860 | $6.65K | Dec 26, 2025 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | buy | 330 | $0.456 | $150.5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 4.48K | $0.338 | $1.52K | Dec 26, 2025 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?No | buy | 551 | $0.319 | $176.02 | Dec 26, 2025 |