Analytics
Resolved No on 5 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 63.5% on 26 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2025 to 5 Aug 2025, the highest close was 63.5% on 26 Jul 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 2 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 42% on 27 Jul 2025. $69.24K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 4:42 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 26 Jul 2025 – 5 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | 63.5% |
| 5 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| kya044 | Yes | 15K |
| Zijp | Yes | 5K |
| YoungShalom | Yes | 2.16K |
| Bigchrome | Yes | 1K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake's song "Which One" debuts at #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 chart for the week titled “week of August 9, 2025”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be Billboard.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-drakes-which-one-debut-at-1-in-its-first-week
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
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| flushy-kamloops | Yes | 116.26 |
