Analytics
Resolved Yes on 15 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.6%. Yes opened at 75% on 22 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 97.6% on 15 May 2026 and the low 63.7% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 84% on 2 May 2026. $61.54K traded over the market's life.
82 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 4:04 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 22 Apr 2026 – 15 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2026 | 75.0% |
| 15 May 2026 | 97.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hehjeje | No | 11K |
| 2minutes1341 | No | 2.4K |
| TheDom | No | 2K |
| TUNGTUNGTUNGTUNGTUNGTUNGSAHUR | No | 1.93K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-drake-release-iceman-by
| Ovopookie | No | 1.1K |
| alexgone | No | 1.02K |
| iwatnat | No | 834.7 |
| Twixin | No | 610 |
| Asied | No | 527.12 |
| Ithinkthisisgodfan | No | 269.31 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
