Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 2.26K | $0.056 | $129.09 | +$1.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 4, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.100 | $50 | 5d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 600.01 |
| $0.242 |
| $87 |
| -$58.2 |
 Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 200 | $0.539 | $74.9 | -$32.85 |
 Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 114.61 | $0.491 | $61.32 | +$5 |
 Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.350 | $20 | -$15 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 300 | $0.170 | $13.5 | -$37.5 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 95.19 | $0.099 | $10.42 | +$1 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 444 | $0.060 | $6.44 | -$20.2 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 184.89 | $0.041 | $5.92 | -$1.6 |
 Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.490 | $0.03 | -$0.04 |
| buy |
| 270.1 |
| $0.060 |
| $16.16 |
| 6d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | sell | 195.34 | $0.065 | $12.7 | 7d ago |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET?Yes | buy | 77.05 | $0.030 | $2.31 | 7d ago |
| Will Lacy and Marlon have fewer than 100 Fortnite deaths during the marathon?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | 7d ago |
 Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-19?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | 21d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 444 | $0.060 | $26.64 | 21d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 258.82 | $0.013 | $3.36 | 21d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 943.23 | $0.012 | $11.32 | 22d ago |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 1.89K | $0.033 | $61.54 | 23d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 599.99 | $0.170 | $102 | 23d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 340.08 | $0.010 | $3.4 | 24d ago |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.38K | $0.037 | $50.45 | 24d ago |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 82.99 | $0.470 | $39.01 | 24d ago |
 Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 180.98 | $0.049 | $8.95 | 25d ago |
 Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?No | sell | 50 | $0.830 | $41.5 | 25d ago |
| Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.120 | $3.27 | 25d ago |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?No | buy | 250 | $0.180 | $45 | 28d ago |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?No | buy | 34.89 | $0.324 | $11.3 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.840 | $84 | 28d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 49.99 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?No | buy | 307.09 | $0.250 | $76.77 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.390 | $78 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 145.3 | $0.999 | $145.15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 50 | $0.465 | $23.25 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.190 | $57 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 33.71 | $0.295 | $9.94 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.590 | $59 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.3 | $0.638 | $28.89 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:55PM-12:00AM ETDown | buy | 58.14 | $0.430 | $25 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 166.67 | $0.030 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETUp | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?No | sell | 75 | $0.700 | $52.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 50 | $0.500 | $25 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 95.19 | $0.099 | $9.42 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?No | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 New York Yankees vs. Chicago White SoxChicago White Sox | buy | 100 | $0.413 | $41.3 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.750 | $75 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 33.1 | $0.200 | $6.62 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31?Yes | sell | 30.47 | $0.390 | $11.88 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 240 | $0.220 | $52.8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 32.31 | $0.220 | $7.11 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 97.6 | $0.380 | $37.09 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will $ANSEM reach $0.6 before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.780 | $39 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 389.53 | $0.038 | $14.8 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 100 | $0.595 | $59.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |