Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 17 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 13 daily closes on record from 17 Feb 2026 to 1 Mar 2026, the highest close was 40.5% on 17 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 1 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 32 points down, to 9% on 18 Feb 2026. $19.31K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 28, 11:03 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 17 Feb 2026 – 1 Mar 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Feb 2026 | 40.5% |
| 1 Mar 2026 | 0.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| AllYourMoniesAreBelongToMe | Yes | 1.65K |
| Royal Meteor CD2D | Yes | 237.1 |
| Idle-Sensibility | Yes | 136.16 |
| Cosmic Tide 77D3 | Yes | 96.73 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Drake officially releases Iceman by the listed date, 11:59 PM PT. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that Iceman is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Any Drake album officially confirmed to be the Iceman project will count, regardless of potential name changes. The resolution source for this market will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-drake-release-iceman-by
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| asfdt18 | Yes | 46.8 |
