Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 35% on 12 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 205 daily closes on record from 12 Dec 2025 to 2 Aug 2026 (29 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35% on 12 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 23 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 16.5% on 13 Dec 2025. $9.37K traded over the market's life.
31 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 2, 8:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 205 points, 12 Dec 2025 – 2 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | 35.0% |
| 2 Aug 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 2.06K |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| JohnJJJ | Yes | 99.99 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Guam, scheduled to take place on August 1, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Guam Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Guam Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/guam-governor-republican-primary-winner-363
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 94.78 |
| mustbethewater | Yes | 90 |
| Gnomik3 | Yes | 70 |
| YouSayUpISayDown | Yes | 69 |
| cwc909 | Yes | 50 |
| Perfect-Neighbourhood | Yes | 49.2 |
| niglette | Yes | 25 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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