Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 18%. Yes opened at 22% on 1 May 2026. Before it settled, the high was 22% on 1 May 2026 and the low 18% on 5 May 2026. $3.44K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 6, 7:36 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 1 May 2026 – 5 May 2026, chart shows 14%–26%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 May 2026 | 22.0% |
| 5 May 2026 | 18.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| S888 | No | 1.4K |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 151.6 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Lavincey | No | 45.49 |
| hesure | No | 20 |
| Mojito9 | No | 10 |
| itsjustcheddar | No | 8.74 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Stol | No | 3.33 |
| Coral Beacon 7E5B | No | 3.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve based on the predominant color of the tie worn by Donald Trump during his first public appearance during which he wears a tie on the specified date (ET). The color will be determined based solely on the first publicly available photo or video of the appearance. Reporting of the tie color without photos or videos will not be considered. Subsequent publication of other photos or videos, including those taken earlier, will not affect the resolution. For the tie to be considered predominantly blue or red, its primary color must be a shade of blue or red, though it may feature other colors as part of a pattern. This tie would count as "Blue": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-blue-5ywRT5OXfn-5.jpg This tie would count as "Red": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-red-a7ObxtpGQcrR.jpg The following tie has no distinguishable predominant color, and thus would resolve to "Other": https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/donald-trump-tie-color-other-Q8aIgOP7wFs1.jpg If Donald Trump does not have any public appearance on the specified date, does not wear a tie, or if it is a color not listed among the strike options, the market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/donald-trump-tie-color-on-may-5
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