Will Donald Trump visit China on May 26, 2026?

Resolved

No, settled May 13, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$39.4K

Resolved

Settled

May 13, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 13 May 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3% on 28 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 16 daily closes on record from 28 Apr 2026 to 13 May 2026, the highest close was 3% on 28 Apr 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 May 2026. $39.41K traded over the market's life.

40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of May 13, 4:26 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 28 Apr 2026 – 13 May 2026, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Apr 2026	3.0%
13 May 2026	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	233.78K
anciente	Yes	8.89K
pd.unique	Yes	3.67K
Novus0rdoSeclorum	Yes	3.41K

10 of 40 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which U.S. President Donald Trump next visits China. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.