Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 50%. Yes opened at 2.4% on 10 Aug 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 Aug 2025 to 11 Aug 2025, the highest close was 50% on 11 Aug 2025 and the lowest 2.4% on 10 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 48 points up, to 50% on 11 Aug 2025. $1.82K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 13, 12:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 Aug 2025 – 11 Aug 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2025 | 2.4% |
| 11 Aug 2025 | 50.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dzP3 | Yes | 252.6 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 145 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve "Yes" if Donald Trump signs an executive order on the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will immediately resolve "Yes" if the text of an executive order for the given day is published on the White House page for presidential actions (https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/) or the White House press pool. Mere announcements will not qualify. If no executive order is published by 12:00 PM ET the day after the listed date of this market, this market will resolve to “No”. In the case of ambiguity this market may remain open until it is confirmed by the federal register.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-sign-an-executive-order-on-august-9-august-15
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