Analytics
Yes is at 36.5%, up 9.5 points from 27% when the market opened on 2 Oct 2026.
Across the 24 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 69.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 19% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 21.5%. Its largest one-day move was 37 points up, to 69.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?”.
$23.9 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $3.67K since listing. The order book holds $108.8, with a 59.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 116 trades, $707.13 bought Yes and $571.21 bought No.
The largest Yes position is smellyEllie with 421 shares; the largest No position is Cattail with 150. Ten wallets hold 78.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:51 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 2 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2026 | 27.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 36.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie | Yes | 420.76 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 226.37 |
| Cattail | No | 149.99 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain praising language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Praising language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as praise, or endorses praising language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as praise if it expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the individual either personally or professionally. This includes direct praise, attributing a positive personal or professional trait to the individual (e.g., strong, smart, loyal, a winner), or equivalent positive descriptions. General neutrality or polite diplomatic language will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-trump-publicly-praise-by-october-31-2026
| GuyFromTinder |
| No |
| 132.99 |
| turtle911 | No | 101.27 |
| wisechinaman | Yes | 100 |
| Trained-Notion | No | 84.32 |
| youtube-trader | No | 82.99 |
| Coral Oracle 439A | No | 70 |
| Dr.mett | No | 61.08 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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