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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 10K | $0.500 | $7.6K | +$2.6K |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Yes | sell | 570 | $0.311 | $177.4 | 8m ago |
|
| No |
| 3.28K |
| $0.957 |
| $3.22K |
| +$79.09 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 10K | $0.500 | $2.41K | -$2.6K |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | Yes | 1.44K | $0.940 | $1.39K | +$33.16 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15? | Yes | 1.63K | $0.381 | $448.7 | -$172.35 |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9? | No | 438.91 | $0.989 | $434.08 | +$0.19 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026? | No | 453.65 | $0.910 | $424.16 | +$11.34 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027? | Yes | 311.65 | $0.727 | $275.81 | +$49.12 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30? | Yes | 262.78 | $0.877 | $195.51 | -$35.03 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.780 | $185.7 | +$29.7 |
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 260.66 | $0.720 | $170.73 | -$16.94 |
 Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? | No | 107.81 | $0.867 | $99.72 | +$6.28 |
 Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800? | Yes | 100 | $0.950 | $98.3 | +$3.3 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.930 | $95.5 | +$2.5 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.910 | $95.5 | +$4.5 |
 Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 895.7 | $0.158 | $94.05 | -$47.24 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 100 | $0.750 | $86.5 | +$11.5 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 100.01 | $0.705 | $84.71 | +$14.2 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%? | No | 86.6 | $0.825 | $81.45 | +$10 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100 | $0.671 | $54.15 | -$12.95 |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027? | No | 100 | $0.320 | $35.5 | +$3.5 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | Yes | 857.8 | $0.180 | $27.02 | -$127.38 |
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | No | 26.28 | $0.951 | $25.43 | +$0.43 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 20 | $0.855 | $19.23 | +$2.13 |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.738 | $18.95 | +$4.19 |
| buy |
| 6 |
| $0.180 |
| $1.08 |
| 11h ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | buy | 281.18 | $0.910 | $255.87 | 1d ago |
 Will Trump's remarks not air?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | 1d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 1.24K | $0.970 | $1.21K | 1d ago |
| Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $1,800?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | 3d ago |
 Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 4, 2026?No | buy | 59 | $0.795 | $46.91 | 5d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 59.72 | $0.010 | $0.59 | 5d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.891 | $48.16 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?No | buy | 40 | $0.977 | $39.06 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 50.4 | $0.971 | $48.94 | 6d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Yes | buy | 41 | $0.901 | $36.94 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 105.79 | $0.929 | $98.28 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 295.98 | $0.957 | $283.34 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 9?No | buy | 398.91 | $0.990 | $394.83 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 10?No | buy | 110 | $0.930 | $102.3 | 6d ago |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by September 15?No | buy | 651.57 | $0.316 | $205.64 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.72 | $0.790 | $47.17 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 98.3 | $0.950 | $93.38 | 6d ago |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 105 | $0.975 | $102.38 | 7d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "NATO" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | 7d ago |
 Will Trump praise Bryson DeChambeau in August?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.447 | $3.58 | 8d ago |
 Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?No | buy | 8.88 | $0.360 | $3.2 | 8d ago |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 15?Yes | buy | 65 | $0.740 | $48.1 | 8d ago |
| Will there be no next Mythos-Class model release by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.060 | $2.4 | 9d ago |
 Will Trump say "Rare" or "Chronic" during healthcare affordability announcement?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.540 | $27.54 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump say "Obama" during healthcare affordability announcement?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.470 | $23.97 | 9d ago |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during healthcare affordability announcement?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.500 | $3.5 | 9d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2K | $0.430 | $860 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 68 | $0.270 | $18.36 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 165.58 | $0.260 | $43.05 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 778.59 | $0.206 | $160.63 | 9d ago |
| Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 144.99 | $0.907 | $131.49 | 9d ago |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.990 | $4.95 | 10d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?No | buy | 112.33 | $0.026 | $2.92 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C or below on August 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.929 | $4.65 | 10d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.600 | $28.2 | 11d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Starmer" during the next PMQ?No | buy | 461 | $0.697 | $321.31 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.61K | $0.500 | $806.33 | 12d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 99 | $0.540 | $53.46 | 12d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 29?No | buy | 86.61 | $0.740 | $64.09 | 12d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 28?No | buy | 11.79 | $0.910 | $10.73 | 12d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | 13d ago |
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.707 | $212 | 14d ago |
| Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.780 | $3.9 | 15d ago |
| Will Trump say "Mission" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.900 | $72 | 15d ago |
 Will US crude oil reserves fall to 285M by August 31?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.410 | $49.2 | 15d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 37.11 | $0.540 | $20.04 | 17d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?No | buy | 34.56 | $0.640 | $22.12 | 17d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?No | buy | 542.89 | $0.688 | $373.7 | 17d ago |