Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 16, 2026?

Resolved

Yes, settled Aug 16, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$2.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Aug 16, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 16 Aug 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 87%. Yes opened at 90% on 30 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 18 daily closes on record from 30 Jul 2026 to 16 Aug 2026, the highest close was 90% on 30 Jul 2026 and the lowest 79% on 6 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7 points down, to 79% on 6 Aug 2026. $2.15K traded over the market's life.

19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 18 points, 30 Jul 2026 – 16 Aug 2026, chart shows 75%–95%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Jul 2026	90.0%
16 Aug 2026	87.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Lcz	No	449.83
firebat	No	50
PPMT	No	45
Princol	No	21.29

10 of 19 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. A quote post will only qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-publicly-insult-someone-onptptpt-20260724221849631

Dates

Topic room