
Resolved No on 18 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 97%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 4 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 15 daily closes on record from 4 Oct 2025 to 18 Oct 2025, the highest close was 48.5% on 4 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 12 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 6.5% on 6 Oct 2025. $6.48K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 19, 4:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 15 points, 4 Oct 2025 – 18 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | 48.5% |
| 18 Oct 2025 | 3.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.23K |
| Crushing-Geography | Yes | 656.72 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 314.16 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 49 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of executive orders signed by Donald Trump between October 3, 2025, 2 PM ET and October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Executive actions will not qualify toward this market’s resolution. This market will use the Federal Register as the resolution source (https://www.federalregister.gov/presidential-documents/executive-orders).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-executive-orders-will-trump-sign-by-october-10
| lissartter | Yes | 39.71 |
| itsjustcheddar | Yes | 30 |
| rated | Yes | 24.69 |
| HelloJak | Yes | 14.29 |
| moon-k58-lad | Yes | 1 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 0.99 |
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